粤港区域灰霾控制集成评价方法与管理机制研究

An integrated assessment approach can help systematically assessing air quality improvement, quantifying human health benefits and calculating economic costs under different air pollution control policy scenarios. In this study, the Pearl River Delta(PRD)-Hong Kong will be selected a case study to demonstrate the integrated methodologies for developing an integrated regional haze control strategy framework , by systematically combining research results and findings in emission inventories, air quality simulation, exposure assessment and health effect, cost-benefit analysis, control strategies with considering the characteristics of Chinese administration systems Referencing to the remarkable achievements and experience in the management of trans-boundary air quality management and control strategies of European Union and United State, the effect and potential problems of joint prevention and control of regional air pollution will be analyzed and characterized in this region. With these scientific bases, regional air quality management mechanisms among the PRD, Hong Kong regions under "one country, two systems" will be explored and investigated. This research is expected to provide scientific foundations and guidance for policy-makers, scientists and stakeholders to negotiate regional or trans-boundary air pollution control policies among the PRD, Hong Kong regions. It can also be demonstrated to other air pollution regions in China or other countries for science-based regional air quality management.

集成评价综合分析大气污染控制过程涉及的环境效益、经济成本、技术可达、健康影响等因素，建立大气污染控制的最优策略，在区域空气质量改善与管理过程中起着重要的作用。本研究以粤港珠江三角洲地区灰霾污染控制为研究对象，综合分析及利用该地区已有的灰霾污染前体物排放清单、颗粒物浓度模拟、人体暴露及健康效应评价、成本效益评价和控制策略评价等方面的研究成果，系统研究区域灰霾污染控制集成评价方法学及组成内容，构建适合中国国情的区域灰霾污染集成评价框架体系。并在总结分析欧盟、美国跨区域大气环境管理及行动措施发展的经验基础上，探讨目前粤港区域在区域联防联控措施及管理机制方面存在的潜在问题，利用集成评价的研究成果，探索适合我国国情及粤港“一国两制”的区域空气质量管理创新机制，为政府部门制定跨区域或跨境政策规划及各利益相关者提供科学支撑及服务，也为我国其他城市群地区的区域空气质量管理提供示范。

本研究在跨区域大气污染问题频发的现实背景下，以粤港珠江三角洲地区大气污染控制为研究对象，通过分析欧盟、美国跨区域大气环境管理机制要素，总结大气环境管理的成熟经验；并以集成评价理念为基础，搭建大气环境管理评价的概念性框架及功能分析，涵盖大气污染物排放源清单、环境空气质量模拟、人体暴露及健康效应评价、成本效益评价和控制策略评价等模块；收集本地排放源的活动水平信息和适当排放因子，构建广东省2010年排放源清单，初步识别了基于污染源分类的广东省本地一次多污染物排放特征；开展粤港跨区域大气环境管理机制对比分析，研究及分析了目前粤港双方大气环境合作管理的进展和挑战；最后，从粤港“一国两制”的区域特征出发，制定粤港跨区域大气环境合作管理的目标及需求分析，在尊重国情的基础上适当借鉴欧美经验，对粤港跨区域大气环境管理机制的创新进行了探讨。