东南沿海经济发达地区干热岩开发利用战略研究

Hot dry rock geotherm is a new type of clean energy. The high value areas of eastern coastal region and the eastern geothermal resources are in high coincidence. But its exploitation-utilization has great difficulty. Its research is still in the initial stage. Aimming at above problems, this project will systematically study the hot dry rock exploitation-utilization strategy of southeast coastal region through on-the-spot investigation and research. The specific research contents are as follows: The economic evaluation for southeast coastal dry rock prospecting. The hot dry rock formation mechanism analysis, effectiveness of prospecting method and its application scope, and preferred model-making of prospecting method & its economic evaluation are studied; The potential prospecting of southeast coastal hot dry rock resources and its selection. The formation mechanism of hot dry rock resources and exploitation potentiality and the evaluate of dry rock resources the favorable exploitation zone are studied; The strategic target for hot dry rock exploitation-utilization of southeast coast. The alternative strategic targets are studied and its feasibility is demonstrated. Then, the strategic targets are determined; Design the strategic scheme for hot dry rock exploitation-utilization of southeast coast. The key technology R&D Strategy, market development strategy and infrastructure strategy of hot dry rock are studied; The evaluation and safeguard measures for the strategic scheme of hot dry rock exploitation-utilization of southeast coast, which includes the relative effectiveness of dry rock prospecting, the implementation sensitivity measures of different technology schemes, the sensitivity measures for implementation of related policy to scheme and the safeguard measures for the implementation of strategic scheme etc. It plays an important role in optimizing the energy structure and developing clean energy.

干热岩地热是新型清洁能源，东部沿海地区与东部地热资源高值区高度重合，但勘探开发难度大，其研究还处于初步阶段，本项目针对上述问题，通过实地调研系统地研究东南沿海地区干热岩开发利用战略。具体研究内容：(1)东南沿海干热岩勘探经济评价，研究干热岩形成机理、勘探方法效果及适用范围、勘探方法优选建模及经济评价；(2)东南沿海干热岩资源潜力勘查与选区，研究干热岩资源形成机理和开发潜力、干热岩资源有利勘查开发区评价；(3)东南沿海干热岩开发利用战略目标，研究备选战略目标并论证其可行性、战略目标确定；(4)东南沿海干热岩开发利用战略方案设计，研究干热岩关键技术研发战略、市场开发战略、基础建设战略；(5)东南沿海干热岩开发利用战略方案评价与保障措施，包括干热岩勘探相对有效性，不同技术构成方案实施敏感性测算，相关政策对方案实施敏感性测算，战略方案实施保障措施等，对于优化我国能源结构、发展清洁能源具有重要作用。

本项目以东南沿海经济发达地区干热岩地热新型清洁能源为研究背景，其勘探开发战略决策难度大、成本高，本项目针对上述问题，从东南沿海发达地区地质地貌和文献分析入手，在干热岩勘探开发选址评价指标体系构建、干热岩勘探开发选址评价决策模型与方法研发、干热岩勘探开发选址决策应用、干热岩勘探开发选址质量管理建议等主要方面获得较好的研究进展。项目完成高水平学术论10篇（发表刊5篇、返修3篇、国际国内会议2篇），其中SCI/SSCI期刊论文5篇、基金委A期刊论文3篇。举办国际学术会议各1次，举办国内全国学术会议1次，参加国际学术会议1次，参加全国学术会议2次。培养毕业博士研究生2人、毕业硕士研究生4人，为干热岩地热清洁能源勘探开发决策提供理论与方法支撑，对于优化能源结构、发展清洁能源具有重要作用。