含有预期、不确定性因素经济模型及其管理控制策略研究

The study of anticipation and uncertainty is the front area of modern economic theory.They are factors that can not be neglected in the macroeconomic analysis.Traditional economic theory deemed that.production is decided by the amount of labor,material and capitalinvested,without taking into consideration of subjectire initiative.Two decades of economic.system reforming let people realized the uncertainty and risk of market economics.theory and models are not.up-to-date.the economic model derived from this project can be used in the analysis of anticipated behavior of economic man and their reaction to.uncertainty.Absolutely,this model can reflect the current situation of our country effectively.

预期和不确定性都是当代经济理论研究的前沿领域。它们是宏观决策和管理阶层必须重视的一个经济因素。本项目结合我国实际，应用现代控制理论和方法，建立一类含有预期和不确定性模型。研究其控制策略。注重对管理控制与技术的研究。我国正处于转型时期，正值计划手段干预削弱，市场发育未建全。在这种情况下，加强本项目研究具有重要意义。