基于能源细胞-组织架构的区域能源网分层调控、互动机制与市场交易研究

Energy is the basic driving force for national development and economic growth. Coordinating the multiple complementary energy sources and building a stable, economic, clean and safe energy system are the key directions to promote the system reform, and to enhance the sustainable development of energy. It is urgent to develop regional energy integrated optimization and system engineering. In the foreseeable future, large-scale distributed energy will be arranged in the form of "cell" cluster on the user side. Multiple cells can form virtual organizations (tissues) based on their own new energy output characteristics and geographical location. Driven by individual interests, integrated cluster advantages provide diversified economic and energy services. However, distributed generation outputs are hard to be predicted, controlled, and the anti-disturbance ability is weak. In addition, complex coupling relations in multi energy complementary further strengthen the system uncertainty. The ratio of local energy, which is controllable and can support system, is reduced gradually. The above problems bring challenges to the security and economic operation of the regional integrated energy system. .This project will investigate systematically in four aspects: (1) organization-cell architecture and modeling for regional integrated energy system. (2) intelligent hierarchical control (3) the interaction mechanism of demand response (4) economic behavior of energy cell. The purpose of the above research is to build a theoretical and methodological system of hierarchical regulation, interaction mechanism and economic behavior of regional integrated energy system. Our research will improve the efficiency of large-scale regional integrated energy system operation and promote the development of regional energy system.

能源是国家发展和经济增长的基本驱动力。统筹多能互补能源、构筑稳定经济清洁安全的能源供应消费体系是推动体制机制改革、增强能源可持续发展的关键方向，大力发展多能互补集成优化理论及系统工程迫在眉睫。大规模分布式能源以“细胞元”集群形式布置在用户侧，多个细胞又可根据自身能源特性和地理位置在利益驱动下形成组织，充分发挥系统集成优势并提供多元化的经济能源服务。然而，新能源发电出力难预测、不可控、抗扰动能力弱，加之多能互补梯级利用中的复杂耦合关系，进一步加剧了系统不确定性；本地具有支撑和可控能力的能源占比逐渐降低，为考虑多能互补的区域能源网的安全和经济运行带来了挑战。针对区域能源网运行所面临的难题，项目从以下四方面开展系统性研究：（1）区域能源网细胞-组织分层架构与建模；（2）智能分层调控；（3）需求响应互动；（4）细胞经济行为决策。构建区域能源网运行的理论和方法体系，促进其高效运行和协同发展。

能源是国家发展和经济增长的基本驱动力。统筹多能互补能源、构筑稳定经济清洁安全的能源供应消费体系是推动体制机制改革、增强能源可持续发展的关键方向，大力发展多能互补集成优化理论及系统工程迫在眉睫。针对区域能源网运行所面临的难题，项目从以下四方面开展系统性研究：(1)区域能源网细胞-组织分层架构与建模；(2)智能分层调控；(3)需求响应互动：(4)细胞经济行为决策。构建区域能源网运行的理论和方法体系，促进其高效运行和协同发展。主要研究成果如下：.1）提出了基于区域能源互联网细胞-组织仿生的分层架构与模型，为后续分层调控、互动机制、市场交易提供实现框架，分别建立基于能量枢纽的能源细胞的统一转化机理模型、能源细胞-组织的灵敏度在线感知模型和在线的竞价预测和经济行为偏好模型。.2）提出了基于多智能体一致性主从博弈理论的分层分布式优化调度方法，使能源组织在保持一定的就地控制能力的同时还具备全局协调控制能力。.3）提出了综合能源需求响应模型与互动机制。解决多能源在供求侧和需求侧双重耦合性的问题；解决传统电力需求响应只能实现单一能源优化的局限性；实现综合能源需求侧的资源化调度，降低综合用能成本，最大化社会福利。.4）提出了虚拟能源站互动调度策略及收益分配机制。充分发掘综合能源需求响应、分布式能源、储能等广义需求侧资源的互动特性，实现多个能源细胞的优势互补；解决虚拟能源站内部成员细胞的成本分摊和利益分配的问题。.5）提出市场环境下集群经济行为决策模式。建立针对能源细胞经济行为分析的数据挖掘与分析框架，并能友好接入市场或状态分析等模型。提出一种针对竞争型市场环境下基于分布式结构的多细胞非合作市场博弈策略。提出一种针对竞争型市场环境下基于分布式结构的多细胞合作市场博弈策略。