市场秩序评价与监测预警系统研究

China is transforming from planned economy to market economy.The tranformation bring many problems to market order.These problems cannot be ignored.Solving these problems is very important to develop the economy of China .So it is very necessary to build the Evaluation and Warning System for Market Order.After studying the elements of market order ,the paper builds a suit of index for the evaluation model and proposes the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model as the main evaluation method based on the characteristic of market order.The method is easy to calculate ,and its result is capable of explaining the problems of the market order.As an example,this evaluation model is adopted to carry out a synthetic evaluation ot the market order in Tianjin computer products market...In the second part of the paper,the author systematically analyzes the warning system and optimizes each process so that the warning system can accurately forcast the changes of the market order .Because the appearance of market order is fuzzy ,this paper utilize Fuzzy Markov Calculation Model to predict the warning index's developing .And through the warning test,the warning system is testified to be useful.How to solve the problems of market order is a focus in the field of economy developing , in this paper, the Evaluation and Warning System will be utilized to probe the difficult problems..

本项目紧密结合我国市场经济发展实践，从市场秩序监管角度研究市场监测预警指标体系的建立、监测预警指标权重确定、单指标监测一预警区间划分、以及预测技术等理论方法与系统开发；突出理论与实践相结合的学术思想，项目研究成果不仅发展了市场秩序监管与监测预警理论，而且对促进国民经济可持续发展具有重大现实意义。.