制度变迁、社会嵌入与订单农业契约稳定性研究

Over 30 years’ rural reform in China, the order agriculture has become the rural economic development highlights and its organizational pattern never stops evolving and innovating. However, in real practice, defaults from leading corporations and farmers occur frequently, so for the agricultural industrialization development, the stabilization of the contractual relationship in the order agriculture must be solved. In this project, we plans to investigate the existing development state of Chinese rural industrialization and order agriculture, study the common types and evolutionary model of order agriculture. Basing on analyzing the research documentation of order agriculture and adopting Meta-regression analysis technique, we try to find out the influential factors against the stabilization of the contractual relationship. Meanwhile, our project will dissect the contractual relationship from two aspects: the relationship embedding and the structure embedding, and study the internal correlation mechanism between the social embeddedness and the stabilization of order agriculture. Furthermore, the researchers will look into the material impact to the rural social relationship, which comes from the rural institution changes. And under compulsory institutional change and compulsory institutional change,discuss he evolution problem of the relationship embedding and the structure embedding in order agriculture contract and the action mechanism it brings to the stabilization of the order agriculture contract. The investigation data from large sample questionnaire will help undertake empirical test. The researchers will collect parallel cases nationwide, go on Multi-case study to the qualified data and try to put forward policy suggestions for optimizing the development of order agriculture pattern.

中国农村改革30年来，订单农业成为农村经济发展亮点，其组织模式也不断演化、创新；但实践中频发龙头企业或农户违约事件，订单农业契约稳定性成为农业产业化发展亟待解决的问题。本项目将调研中国农村产业化和订单农业发展现状，考察订单农业常见类型及其模式演进；基于对订单农业研究文献的Meta回归分析，探究影响订单农业契约稳定性的主要因素。同时，本项目将从关系嵌入与结构嵌入两个层面解析订单农业中的契约关系，研究社会嵌入性与订单农业契约稳定性的内在关联机制；进一步地，考察中国农村制度变迁对农村社会关系的实质性影响，并分别讨论强制性制度变迁和诱致性制度变迁两类差异性情境下，订单农业契约中的关系嵌入与结构嵌入的演化路径，及其对订单农业契约稳定性的作用机制；并借助大样本问卷调研数据进行实证检验。本项目还将在全国范围内采集订单农业平行案例，开展多案例质性分析；依托鲜活案例研究，尝试提出订单农业模式优化发展建议。

本课题依托制度变迁理论，将社会网络分析方法引入“公司+农户”契约关系逻辑分析框架；使用扎根理论等研究工具，提炼血缘、乡缘等关键影响因素，解析关系嵌入在“公司+农户”契约结构中的内生性，讨论“公司+农户”的不同契约地位；通过社会网络分析模型，刻画强制性制度变迁与诱致性制度变迁两类差异性情境下，农村“熟人社会”网络关系的演化趋势；以此分析社会网络演化过程中，“公司+农户”契约关系的嵌入机制以及契约稳定性问题。课题还把中国农村改革过程中的正式制度变迁和非正式制度变迁纳入研究范畴，据此讨论强制性制度变迁与诱致性制度变迁两类差异性情境下的“公司+农户”契约关系演化过程及其影响契约稳定性的内生性机理。本课题还借助实证分析方法，从渠道权力角度探讨农民专业合作社对增强农户流通渠道影响力的作用机理；并聚焦海南农业产业化发展模式问题，研究海南热带农业组织化运营的发展模式。